Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.002358 0.002497 0.002645 0.002814 0.003006 0.003216 0.003466
2025-03-16 0.002192 0.002389 0.002611 0.002884 0.003214 0.003608 0.004127
2025-03-23 0.002066 0.002300 0.002575 0.002929 0.003386 0.003973 0.004825
2025-03-30 0.001937 0.002189 0.002493 0.002899 0.003448 0.004199 0.005385
2025-04-06 0.001812 0.002068 0.002385 0.002819 0.003426 0.004297 0.005771
2025-04-13 0.001727 0.001989 0.002319 0.002783 0.003454 0.004465 0.006309
2025-04-20 0.001608 0.001859 0.002178 0.002632 0.003299 0.004324 0.006264
2025-04-27 0.001558 0.001815 0.002147 0.002629 0.003359 0.004531 0.006928
2025-05-04 0.001539 0.001809 0.002165 0.002695 0.003528 0.004949 0.008192
2025-05-11 0.001499 0.001773 0.002139 0.002693 0.003589 0.005185 0.009165
2025-05-18 0.001488 0.001776 0.002165 0.002771 0.003790 0.005730 0.011336
2025-05-25 0.001450 0.001738 0.002132 0.002755 0.003826 0.005948 0.012722
2025-06-01 0.001398 0.001682 0.002073 0.002698 0.003792 0.006033 0.013826
2025-06-08 0.001381 0.001673 0.002082 0.002751 0.003967 0.006641 0.018168
2025-06-15 0.001360 0.001658 0.002082 0.002788 0.004119 0.007258 0.024725
2025-06-22 0.001324 0.001620 0.002044 0.002759 0.004135 0.007525 0.030332
2025-06-29 0.001279 0.001567 0.001982 0.002685 0.004050 0.007482 0.032969
2025-07-06 0.001247 0.001533 0.001945 0.002652 0.004047 0.007686 0.040922
2025-07-13 0.001191 0.001461 0.001851 0.002514 0.003810 0.007115 0.033662
2025-07-20 0.001171 0.001441 0.001834 0.002511 0.003862 0.007474 0.046324
2025-07-27 0.001167 0.001444 0.001853 0.002572 0.004059 0.008398 0.119670
2025-08-03 0.001148 0.001426 0.001838 0.002570 0.004117 0.008869 0.441549
2025-08-10 0.001147 0.001433 0.001862 0.002642 0.004359 0.010235 NaN